….ADC presidential candidate position unrealistic •Leaders okay security rejig

Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu has said those campaigning for the return of fuel subsidy are resorting to populist politics that will ultimately fail.

The governor criticised politicians promising to restore petrol subsidy, arguing that any candidate assuring Nigerians of its return was simply building a campaign on empty promises that would end up deceiving voters.

He warned Nigerians against believing pledges that could not be sustained by the nation’s finances. NigerianPartnership Consulting

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar reignited the debate over subsidy restoration when he commenced his campaign for the January 16, 2027 presidential election.

He is the presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

Atiku said proceeds from subsidy removal had been mismanaged. But his roadmap for restoring the subsidy regime has been unclear and inconsistent. HireGrant Writers

Atiku has also said that, if elected, he would throw open Nigeria’s borders to allow cross-border businesses.

His claim that the borders are shut was faulted by Minister of Interior Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, who said the borders are not closed.

Sanwo-Olu spoke yesterday when he delivered the seventh Freedom Online Newspaper Lecture in Lagos.

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The theme was: “2027 elections, economy, security and Nigeria’s future.” NigerianPartnership Consulting

The lecture was chaired by former Minister of Information and Culture, Alhaji Lai Mohammed, and attracted media personalities and political leaders who brainstormed on the state of the nation.

Former Ogun State Governor and Ogun East Senator, Gbenga Daniel, was the Special Guest of Honour.

Sanwo-Olu delved into the ongoing economic reforms, security matters and electoral reconfiguration being undertaken by the Federal Government, highlighting the gains and prospects for future growth. E-paperAccess

The Lagos governor observed that the fuel subsidy removal policy, which was introduced to tackle the shortcomings of local oil supplies stemming from inefficiencies at state-owned refineries, was not intended as a permanent intervention.

Sanwo-Olu said the subsidy policy had become a burden on the nation’s finances, draining the treasury and diverting funds that could have been invested in building roads, schools, hospitals and other infrastructure relevant to the wellbeing of the nation.

By taking the courage to end the corruption-ridden subsidy programme, the governor said President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made the sacrifice that previous leaders had avoided, despite the potential impact the action could have on his electoral fortunes.

Sanwo-Olu said: “The oil subsidy was not removed because anybody enjoyed removing it. It was removed because it had become a hole in the national purse through which the money for roads, schools and hospitals was draining away.

“The intervention was never reaching the ordinary motorist it was supposed to help. In the build-up to the 2023 elections, every major candidate promised to remove it.

“Only one of them was in a position to do it, and he did it on his first day in office.

“I will not stand here and tell you that oil subsidy removal has been painless. It has not.

“Lagosians particularly have felt it at the pump, at the market, and in the price of a bag of rice.

“Any governor who tells you otherwise has not been listening to his own people.

“But the measure of a reform is not whether it hurts. It is whether it heals. And the evidence that this one is healing is now arriving, quarter by quarter.

“Under President Tinubu, the states have had it very good. Since the subsidy was removed, the monthly allocations to states and local governments have more than doubled in naira terms.

“The President has done his part; the money is arriving. Barely two weeks into the season of presidential election campaign, opposition politicians have reached for the fuel subsidy as their instrument of choice.

“We will see more of this. We will see promises that no treasury on earth could honour.”

Sanwo-Olu said he strongly believed in the direction of the reforms initiated by the President to reset the economy and the socio-political system, pointing out that the reforms were already yielding positive outcomes in the areas where they were being implemented.

The governor said he remained convinced about the direction of the Federal Government’s economic reforms, citing improvements in economic growth, agriculture, services, external reserves, inflation and remittances.

Sanwo-Olu said President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s economic and security reforms had set Nigeria on the path to recovery. NigerianPartnership Consulting

He urged voters to give the administration another term to consolidate the gains.

Sanwo-Olu said the economy and security would be the defining issues of the 2027 presidential election, arguing that neither economic growth nor national development could be sustained without security.

He said Tinubu’s reforms were necessary to rescue public finances and redirect resources to development.

Sanwo-Olu said recent economic indicators suggested that the reforms were beginning to deliver results.

He cited National Bureau of Statistics figures showing that the economy grew by 4.43 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 3.89 per cent in the first quarter.

He also said Nigeria’s foreign reserves had risen to $53 billion, while inflation had fallen to 15.9 per cent in June from almost 35 per cent in late 2024. NigerianPartnership Consulting

Sanwo-Olu added that formal remittances from Nigerians abroad reached $947 million in July, describing it as the highest monthly figure recorded.

He added: “These are not my numbers. They belong to the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics and the Central Bank of Nigeria, and every journalist in this hall can check them.”

The governor said the APC would campaign on the need to sustain the reforms and ensure that their benefits reached Nigerians more quickly. NigerianPartnership Consulting

Sanwo-Olu said: “For us in the All Progressives Congress, the position that follows is a simple one.

“We intend to stay the course, to deepen the reforms, and to make sure that the benefits reach, quickly and visibly, the people who bore the cost.”

Sanwo-Olu argued that the economic and security crises confronting the country could not be treated separately.

He lauded the proposed establishment of state police, saying bringing security closer to communities would make policing more effective.

The governor urged the National Assembly and state Houses of Assembly to complete the constitutional process for state policing.

His position was supported by Senator Daniel and Alhaji Mohammed, who both stressed the importance of security to economic development.

Ogun State Peoples Democratic Party governorship candidate, Ladi Adebutu, called for transparent elections, adding that there could not be economic growth without adequate security.

Sanwo-Olu, who will not contest the 2027 governorship election because he is completing his second term, made clear his preference in the presidential contest.

He said: “I will not disguise my hope for the outcome. I expect my party to win, and I expect a second term for President Tinubu to consolidate the Renewed Hope Agenda.”

Senator Daniel said: “Nigeria cannot have a strong economy without security, and it cannot have lasting security without a strong economy.”

Daniel, who acknowledged that the nation was going through challenges, said they were not enough to define the country.

He added: “But Nigeria must not be defined only by its challenges. We possess enormous potential: a young population, a dynamic entrepreneurial culture, a growing technology sector, strong financial institutions, a vibrant creative economy and businesses succeeding across Africa. NigerianPartnership Consulting

“Our challenge is to create the conditions in which Nigerian ability can flourish at scale. Those conditions include security, infrastructure and opportunity.”

Akinadewo, Editor-in-Chief of Freedom Online newspaper, said reforms should address insecurity and development challenges.

He said Nigeria must separate politics from governance and development, noting that “we have a four-year cycle of elections but pitiably, there is no four-year cycle of development.” NigerianPartnership Consulting

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He said the country needed to modernise its laws and security architecture to reflect contemporary realities, stressing that “we can’t continue to use the system adopted in the ’60s to govern Nigeria of 2026 and beyond.”

Akinadewo advocated state police and restructuring, arguing that decentralising security would improve understanding of local security challenges.

…….GDP rose 4.43 per cent in Q2
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu yesterday assured Nigerians that his administration would intensify efforts to translate improving economic indicators into better living conditions. NigerianBusiness Directory

He declared that the economy is now on an “irreversible path” towards growth that households will feel at their dining tables and in their pockets.

The President said the Federal Government would, within the next few weeks, introduce measures targeted at vulnerable Nigerians, including cheaper means of transportation, increased food production and relief programmes designed to directly reach people at the grassroots.

Tinubu gave the assurances in his reaction to the latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures released yesterday by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The report shows that the Nigerian economy grew by 4.43 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 4.23 per cent recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025. NigerianBusiness Directory

The President welcomed the figures as further evidence that the economic reforms undertaken by his administration since May 2023 were yielding results, according to a statement by his spokesman, Bayo Onanuga.

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“Under our watch, the economy is on the irreversible path to experience even more growth that all homes will feel at the dining table and in their pockets. We are not resting on our oars.

“We are fully committed to translating consistent, stronger economic performance into better microeconomic outcomes for our citizens. We must stay vigilant by ensuring the sustainable progress we are recording remains irreversible,” Tinubu said.

According to the NBS report, growth was recorded across agriculture, manufacturing, oil and gas, and services, with the services sector maintaining its position as the largest contributor to aggregate GDP.

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In nominal terms, Nigeria’s aggregate GDP rose to N119.27 trillion in the second quarter, representing an 18.43 per cent increase from the N100.7 trillion recorded in the corresponding period of 2025.

Tinubu said his administration had spent the past three years taking difficult decisions necessary to stabilise the economy.

“In the past three years, we tried to do the hard part by implementing the necessary reforms to stabilise the economy.

“Now the economy is stabilised, and we have laid the foundation for a prosperous nation. We didn’t do the reforms to create challenges, but to ensure prosperity reaches all our people,” he said.

The President said the latest growth figures were among a series of indicators showing that his Renewed Hope Agenda was working, pointing to improvements in the country’s external reserves, trade position, credit ratings, infrastructure development and oil and gas production.

“The results of the efforts are becoming very clear to all: The Renewed Hope Agenda is working. Because of those tough decisions, today Nigeria has trade surpluses. Our foreign reserves are at their highest in 17 years. Our credit rating has moved up several notches.

“We are building roads, railways and superhighways that will last for a long time. Investors who left are returning. Oil and gas production is increasing,” Tinubu said.

He also cited developments in the education sector as evidence of progress, saying Nigerian universities had enjoyed stability while the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND) was expanding access to tertiary education.

“And in our universities, for the first time in a long time, there are no strikes. Our children are in class. And through NELFUND, student loans are putting education within reach, and affordable credit is going to our civil servants through Creditcorp,” he said.

The President said the next phase of the administration’s intervention would place greater emphasis on alleviating pressures confronting vulnerable Nigerians and ensuring that improving macroeconomic indicators translate into tangible benefits. NigerianBusiness Directory

“In the next few weeks, we are addressing some of the challenges being faced by our vulnerable population by providing cheaper means of transport, ramping up food production and implementing various relief programmes that will touch lives at the grassroots,” he said.

Tinubu also took a swipe at the opposition, saying the latest economic figures had come at a time when opposition elements were attempting to diminish the achievements of his administration and promising to reverse some of its reforms if elected.

He maintained that the policies undertaken since the beginning of his administration were not intended to impose hardship on Nigerians, but to correct structural weaknesses and create the foundation for sustainable prosperity. NigerianBusiness Directory

The President pledged that his administration would remain focused on consolidating the gains recorded so far.

Economy expands further on broad-based growth across sectors

The NBS report, which shows 4.43 per cent growth in the second quarter, indicates that the growth outperformed both the first quarter of 2026 and the corresponding second quarter of 2025.

The report highlighted a broad-based economic expansion driven by significant improvements in the agricultural segment, non-oil sector, services and sustained growth in the oil sector.

The agricultural sector almost doubled its performance, with a growth of 4.39 per cent in the second quarter of 2026 compared with 2.82 per cent in the corresponding period of 2025.

The non-oil sector, which accounted for about 96 per cent of the economy, grew by 67 basis points to 4.31 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 3.64 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2025. Non-oil sector growth was 3.94 per cent in the first quarter of 2026.

Non-oil sector performance was driven by growth across various segments, including crop production, telecommunications, real estate, trade, financial institutions, cement manufacturing and construction, among others.

The oil sector grew by 7.31 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, higher than the 2.57 per cent recorded in the first quarter of 2026, but lower than the 20.46 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2025.

The industrial sector also grew by 3.96 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, as against 7.46 per cent recorded in the comparative period of 2025.

Average daily crude oil production rose to 1.72 million barrels per day (mbpd) in the second quarter of 2026, outperforming both the preceding quarter and the comparable period of 2025.

Crude production in the second quarter of 2026 was the highest since 2022. Oil production stood at 1.68 mbpd in the second quarter of 2025 and 1.55 mbpd in the first quarter of 2026.

The oil sector thus contributed 4.16 per cent to total real GDP in the second quarter of 2026, a sustained improvement on the 4.05 per cent recorded in the corresponding period of 2025 and 3.92 per cent recorded in the first quarter of 2026.

In nominal terms, total GDP rose by 18.43 per cent from N100.73 trillion in the second quarter of 2025 to N119.29 trillion in the second quarter of 2026.

In terms of GDP share, the services sector remained the dominant driver, contributing 56.62 per cent to aggregate GDP in the second quarter of 2026, as against 56.53 per cent recorded in the comparable period of 2025.

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The non-oil sector contributed 95.84 per cent to aggregate real GDP in the second quarter of 2026, as against 95.95 per cent in the second quarter of 2025 and 96.08 per cent in the first quarter of 2026.

Experts were unanimous that the latest GDP report showed a positive outlook for the economy.

Analysts at SCM Capital stated that the second-quarter 2026 GDP report underlined improved macroeconomic conditions and broad-based policy support, which have continued to anchor economic performance.

They said the report showed broad-based resilience, with an uptick in oil output reflecting gradual operational improvements and sustained field activity across major production basins, alongside a non-oil sector gaining stronger momentum.

Analysts at Coronation Group and Cordros Capital Group stated that the GDP performance outpaced their expectations, noting that the economy had shown resilience and steady growth.

sustained economic resilience, with growth anchored by the services sector alongside gradual improvement across non-oil activities.

“The outturn affirms our broader expectation of a steady, non-oil-led growth trajectory through the rest of the year,” Coronation Group stated.

……NRC Suspects Wheel Defect, Rules Out Track Vandalism

The Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) has released its preliminary report on the June 8, 2026 derailment involving the Warri–Itakpe Train Service (WITS), revealing that a possible sudden bogie or wheel defect may have triggered the accident.

The incident occurred at about 4:17pm near the Outer Home signal of the Goodluck Jonathan Railway Station at kilometre 177, Owa-Oyibu, Agbor, Delta State.

According to the NRC, the train had departed Itakpe at 12 noon with 482 people on board, comprising 442 passengers and 40 operational personnel, when the derailment occurred.

Five coaches, one locomotive and a power car were affected, with three coaches and the power car overturning.

The Corporation said emergency response operations were immediately activated with support from the Delta State Government, the Nigeria Police Force, Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC), National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), local authorities and medical teams.

All passengers were evacuated within two hours of the incident.

However, the accident resulted in four confirmed deaths — three adults and one child — while 64 people sustained various injuries.

The NRC said 28 injured passengers were treated and discharged at the Railway Hospital, Owa-Oyibu, while another 36 were transferred to hospitals in Owa-Oyibu, Owa-Alero and Agbor.

Most of those admitted were discharged within 72 hours, while three people, including an NRC employee who required surgery, remained under specialist medical care. Two of the affected persons subsequently underwent surgical procedures.

The Corporation also clarified that its initial report of five fatalities was later revised to four following verification with the Delta State medical team responsible for the deceased.

Possible wheel defect identified

The NRC said its internal investigation involved site inspections, evidence gathering, examination of operational records and communication data, technical assessments of the locomotive and rolling stock, as well as interviews with train crew, operations and maintenance personnel, witnesses and emergency responders.

The investigation also examined the track infrastructure, turnout arrangements, communication systems and the effectiveness of the emergency response and evacuation operations.

Based on the preliminary findings, the NRC said investigators identified the possible sudden development of a bogie/wheel defect while the train was in motion as a potential primary factor in the derailment.

According to the Corporation, such a defect could have resulted in abnormal wheel-rail interaction, excessive impact loading and loss of running stability.

The investigators also identified the possible manner in which the train’s brakes were applied as a factor that may have contributed to the severity of the accident.

However, the NRC stressed that both issues remain working hypotheses and that the definitive cause of the derailment would only be established after further technical analysis.

No evidence of track vandalism

The Corporation said its inquiry team found that the railway points at the accident location were intact and that there was no evidence of track vandalism.

This finding distinguishes the June 8 incident from two previous accidents involving the same Warri–Itakpe service on November 1 and November 8, 2025, which the NRC said were attributed to track vandalism.

The independent Nigerian Safety Investigation Bureau (NSIB) has also commenced its statutory investigation into the accident.

The NRC said it was cooperating fully with the NSIB and would be guided by the findings and recommendations contained in its final report.

NRC announces safety measures

Following the preliminary findings, the Corporation recommended comprehensive safety inspections and audits of rolling stock, railway tracks and infrastructure before equipment is returned to service.

It also called for stronger maintenance and condition-monitoring programmes, timely replacement of defective components and improved availability of critical spare parts.

The NRC further recommended a review of operational safety procedures, improved emergency preparedness and rescue capabilities, enhanced staff training and competency assessments, as well as sustainable funding for railway modernisation.

The Corporation also proposed improvements to its insurance and compensation framework to ensure adequate protection for passengers and staff in cases involving medical treatment, disability and fatalities.

WITS service yet to resume

The NRC said the affected track has been fully recovered and restored, while the locomotives involved have also been recovered and are currently undergoing reconditioning.

However, the Corporation said the Warri–Itakpe service would not resume until a detailed safety audit of the track and equipment has been completed.

The NRC expressed condolences to the families of those who lost their lives in the incident and apologised for the delay in releasing the preliminary report, explaining that additional time was required to properly verify the casualties and notify the affected families.

The Corporation said it remained committed to implementing recommendations arising from both its internal accident inquiry and the independent NSIB investigation, with the aim of strengthening railway safety and restoring public confidence in train transportation.