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Update : The many silver linings of Tinubu’s 7 months in office by Bayo Onanuga
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The removal of fuel subsidy and the move to merge foreign exchange rates, two headline reforms introduced by the Tinubu administration since late May, triggered problems such as high fuel prices and the depreciation of the Naira, two monstrosities which combined to cause a general spike in costs of services and goods.
Today, many Nigerians complain of a rise in the cost of living.
According to the latest NBS report, Nigeria’s inflation, which rose to 26.7 percent in September, again rose to 28.2% in November from 27.33% in October. Food Inflation remains untamed, rising from 31.52% in October to 32.84% in November 2023.
To compound the economic problems, a few multinational companies such as GlaxoSmithKline, Procter & Gamble have announced their exit from our country, complaining about the difficult operating environment and the scarcity of dollar.
The truth is that the new policies alone are not solely responsible for the economic problems we are facing today. We were destined for the tough and rough patch, where we are today because of the prevailing conditions before Tinubu took over on 29 May.
As at June 2023, the budget deficit was N10.8 trillion. Actual Debt service was 98.95 percent of revenue, far higher than the projected 59.37 percent. Inflow into the country’s foreign reserve came in trickles. And so bad was the state of affairs that Nigeria could not remit about $800 million fund of foreign airlines. JP Morgan exposed our near insolvency by claiming in a report that our net foreign reserve was just about $3.7 billion, not the $33 billion-plus flaunted by Emefiele’s CBN.
President Tinubu, who promised during the campaign to take hard and difficult decisions, moved to tackle the economic problems from Day One, by first dispensing with the wasteful fuel subsidy that was billed to consume about N7trillion this year, five times more than what was provisioned for capital spending.
President Tinubu is quite aware of the side effects of his move to reset our economy. Though his administration has earned plaudits from the World Bank, the IMF and rating agencies such as Moody’s and Fitch, he is not carried away by the praises.
He is focused on turning the economy around for growth, development and prosperity.
The moves are yielding some good effects. Amidst what some sections of the media perceive as general gloom, some silver linings are emerging, signposting that with a little more patience, our material conditions will improve and inflation will be tamed. For businesses, operating conditions will also improve.
In its third-quarter report for the year, the NBS reported that GDP grew by 2.54 percent. In a similar period in 2022, GDP recorded a growth of 2.25%. To demonstrate that the sun may be shining on us again, the 2.54% GDP growth recorded in Q3, was also higher than the 2.51% recorded in Q2.
The service sector, made up of information and communication, financial, and insurance, was responsible for the growth witnessed in Q3. It had a 3.99% growth, contributing 52.7% of the aggregate GDP. The agriculture sector declined from 1.34% growth in Q2 to 1.3 percent in Q3.
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Growth was also recorded in construction and real estate, metal ores (69.76%), coal mining (58.03%), chemical and pharmaceutical products (6.77%), Cement (4.2%), and construction (3.89%). Oil reported a negative growth of 0.85%, a major improvement from the negative 22.67% recorded at the same period last year. It was -13.43 in Q2 of 2022.
The improvement in the oil sector and its contribution to GDP has been attributed to the improvement in the security of oil infrastructure and operations, leading to increased production. Going forward in this Q4 and 2024, NNPC Limited is confident that the sector will continue to climb the curve.
In the same Q3, according to NBS, the Industrial sector grew by 0.46%, an uptick compared with Q3 2022, when it had a negative 8% growth, even in the era of P&G and GSK exit.
An interesting revelation in the NBS Q3 report was the big jump in the volume of trade, from N12.16 trillion in Q2 to N18.8 trillion. Trade volume in the same period in 2022 was N12.28 trillion. We also recorded a trade surplus of N1.89 trillion in Q3, an increase from the N708.8 billion in Q2 2023. In Q3 in 2022, we recorded a trade deficit of N409.39 billion.
The value of exports in the third quarter was N10.35 trillion, far higher by 60.78 percent than the N6.44 trillion posted in Q2 2023. Crude oil dominated the export, accounting for 82.5 percent, a confirmation that our country is pumping out more oil for export, unlike the previous years.
Just as our exports increased, imports also increased, rising from N5.73 trillion in Q2 2023 to N8.46 trillion in Q3, a rise of 60.8 percent. The imports recorded in the quarter were also higher in value compared to Q3 2022, which was N6.34 trillion.
As the Minister of Budget and National Planning, Atiku Bagudu noted in a recent report, economic prosperity in our country will be achieved with the reforms being implemented, supported by strong monetary and fiscal policies, food supply management, and other intervention programmes.
President Tinubu who has never shied away from acknowledging the temporary pains triggered by the reforms, gave an assurance in a recent newspaper interview that his Administration will continue to take proactive measures to wrestle with the problems.
Many of these measures are already being taken and in the New Year, we expect the silver linings that are at present understated, to blossom into rays of sunshine to be experienced by all Nigerians.
*Onanuga is the special adviser of Information and strategy to President Bola Tinubu
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Tinubu Assures Families of Safe Return, Deploys 1,000 Forest Guards and Tactical Teams to Oyo Forests, Promises Swift Rescue
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….. Tinubu dispatches high-powered delegation to Oyo
President Bola Tinubu on Sunday approved the recruitment of 1,000 forest guards in Oyo State.
He also directed a specialised security unit with advanced rescue capabilities to intensify efforts to free abducted pupils and teachers from three schools in Oriire Local Government Area.
According to a statement signed and released on Sunday by the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, a high-powered Federal Government delegation conveyed the presidential directives to community leaders and lawmakers during a visit to Esiele and Yawota communities in Oriire LGA on Sunday, May 31, 2026.
The delegation also informed leaders that their request for the establishment of a military base in the area had been transmitted to the President for consideration and approval.
The development comes 16 days after gunmen struck communities in the area and took dozens of schoolchildren and their teachers captive.
The delegation was led by the President’s Chief of Staff, Femi Gbajabiamila, and included the National Security Adviser, Mallam Nuhu Ribadu; the Inspector-General of Police, Tunde Disu ; the Chief of Defence Staff, General Christopher Musa; and the Special Adviser to the President on Media and Public Communications, Sunday Dare, Onanuga said.
Addressing residents in both English and Yoruba, Gbajabiamila said the President’s decision to dispatch the nation’s top security leadership to the affected communities reflected his determination to deploy every available resource to secure the victims’ release.
“Mr President is deeply troubled by this incident. Whatever it takes, our children and teachers will be brought back home safely.
“He has issued all necessary directives and is providing every support required by our security agencies to achieve that objective,” Gbajabiamila said.
He also addressed appeals from parents and community members urging caution in the rescue operation.
The Chief of Staff explained: “Mr President also saw the appeals from some parents and community members urging caution in the rescue efforts.
“Let me assure you that the operation will be intelligence-led and carefully coordinated, deploying both kinetic and non-kinetic measures to secure the safe return of the victims.
“Your pain and anxiety are understood. By the grace of God, your children will return safely to your arms.”
The delegation also called on the Soun of Ogbomosoland, HRM Ghandi Afolabi Olaoye, at his palace to commiserate with the traditional ruler and his people.
They also visited the widow of the slain teacher, Mrs Mary Oyedokun, and her two children, where Gbajabiamila delivered the President’s personal condolences to the family and promised that they would not be left to suffer.
The 1,000 forest guards approved by the President will be recruited in collaboration with the Oyo State Government, Onanuga said.
The abductions occurred on May 15, 2026, when armed men attacked three schools — Community Grammar School, Baptist Nursery and Primary School, and L.A. Primary School — in the Esiele and Yawota communities of Oriire LGA, taking pupils and teachers captive.
During the attack, a mathematics teacher, Michael Oyedokun, was beheaded. A motorcyclist was also killed, and a security operative died after running into improvised explosive devices planted by the abductors during early rescue attempts.
The Oriire LGA communities sit on the fringes of a forested belt that the abductors have exploited for cover since the attack.
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Tinubu @ 3: How REA Is Expanding Energy Access to Support Nigeria’s $1 Trillion Vision
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For decades, achieving economic independence in Nigeria has been limited by a fundamental deficit: access to reliable electricity.
In rural and peri-urban communities, often referred to as the “last mile,” small businesses, agro-processors, and households have historically survived on costly, polluting petrol generators or lived in complete darkness. However, a silent revolution has been taking place across the country. Led by the Rural Electrification Agency (REA), decentralized renewable energy solutions are systematically closing the energy gap. Driven by bold policy shifts and unprecedented private sector funding, the REA’s mini-grid solutions are not just illuminating homes, they are serving as a critical infrastructure backbone to catalyze the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) ambitious target of achieving a $1 trillion economy.
This rapid transformation underscores the strategic vision of the current administration. As President Bola Ahmed Tinubu marks his third year in office, this milestone stands as a testament to his administration’s foresight. By recognizing early on that the fragile national grid could not single-handedly carry the weight of Nigeria’s industrial ambitions, the President prioritized decentralized energy solutions to intentionally ease the burden on the national grid.
Of notable mention is Mr President’s appointment of Dr. Abba Aliyu as the Managing Director of the REA. Abba’s appointment has injected a much-needed dose of technocratic competence, corporate governance and execution speed into the agency, effectively turning a bottleneck into a launchpad for national growth.
Historically, the mention of the REA in Nigeria’s public discourse was frequently tied to headlines of systemic corruption, contract inflation, and abandoned projects. For years, the agency operated as a black box where public and international donor funds vanished into ghost electrification schemes, leaving rural communities in perpetual darkness.
Today, transparency has become the order of the day. At the heart of this institutional transformation is the deployment of advanced digital data platforms including the REA Project Monitoring and Performance Hub (MPH), the Nigeria SE4ALL web platform, and specialized tracking architectures managed alongside data partners like Odyssey. By utilizing real-time IoT (Internet of Things) remote monitoring and data portals, the REA tracks precisely how much power is generated and which communities are connected. This data-first architecture ensures full accountability to international donors, eliminates ghost projects, and guarantees that disbursements are strictly tied to verified performance.
Under the leadership of Dr. Abba Aliyu, Nigeria’s off-grid sector has undergone a massive structural shift, moving from a heavy reliance on imported technology to becoming a regional manufacturing powerhouse. Driven by deliberate government policies aimed at de-risking private capital, Nigeria’s installed local solar panel production capacity has skyrocketed from 120 megawatts (MW) to approximately 300MW.
With an additional 3.7 gigawatts (GW) of capacity currently in the development pipeline, Nigeria is fast positioning itself to anchor West Africa as a renewable energy manufacturing hub. Locally manufactured solar panels are already being exported from industrial corridors like Lagos to regional neighbors like Accra, Ghana.
This domestic manufacturing surge is underpinned by a groundbreaking regulatory environment. The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission’s (NERC) Mini-Grid Regulations have expanded the allowable capacity for interconnected mini-grids to 10MW. By defining exactly how mini-grids interact with the main national grid, Nigeria has established one of the most progressive and investor-friendly regulatory frameworks in Africa, one that is currently being studied and replicated by countries like Mozambique, Benin Republic, Burkina Faso, and Niger.
At the center of REA’s current aggressive rollout is the Distributed Access through Renewable Energy Scale-Up (DARES) programme, widely recognized as the largest publicly funded renewable energy access initiative globally.
DARES is an ambitious $750 million initiative structured to pull an additional $1.1 billion in private sector investments through a results-based financing model. Under this mechanism, private developers must fully mobilize and deploy their own capital to build functioning energy infrastructure before unlocking financial incentives.
The impacts of the DARES initiative are aggresively mapped toward radical socio-economic transformation, aiming to provide clean, reliable electricity to over 17.5 million Nigerians, power over 2.5 million households across the federation, and launch 1,350 mini-grids, including 250 interconnected systems.
As at today, over 1000 mini grids are being developed across the country. Additionally, 48 Interconnected mini-grids are being deployed that will inject additional 288MW of clean reliable capacity are being deployed in collaboration with 11 Distribution Companies.
The REA has gone further to unlock private finance through partnerships with institutions like FCMB, Lotus Bank, and the International Finance Corporation (IFC), creating an expansive, decentralized energy ecosystem capable of sustaining itself long after public funds are exhausted.
The expansion of last-mile electrification directly intersects with macroeconomic objectives. The CBN’s blueprint for a $1 trillion economy relies heavily on boosting productivity in agriculture, expanding MSMEs (Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises), and scaling up local manufacturing. The REA’s mini-grid solutions act as an economic multiplier for this vision in three distinct ways.
Firstly, it unlocks the agricultural value chain.
A significant portion of Nigeria’s wealth resides in its rural agrarian communities, which suffer from high post-harvest losses due to a lack of cold storage and processing facilities. By deploying solar mini-grids to agricultural hubs, the REA enables the operation of solar-powered mills, irrigation pumps, and cold storage units. This transitions subsistence farming into a commercialized, high-yield industry, drastically boosting rural GDP contribution.
Secondly, it reduces MSMEs operating costs.
High inflation and currency fluctuations heavily penalize businesses reliant on imported fuel for generators. Replacing petrol and diesel with predictable, cheaper solar energy immediately frees up operational capital for millions of small businesses such as salons, tailoring shops, welding centers, and healthcare facilities. These saved costs are directly reinvested into expanding operations and hiring more local labor.
Furthermore, the scale-up of mini-grid capacities to 10MW allows for the strategic deployment of large solar farms in border towns. This positions Nigeria to engage in cross-border electricity trade, selling off-grid power to neighboring West African border communities. This opens up entirely new foreign exchange revenue streams, strengthening the Naira and boosting regional trade volumes in line with sub-regional economic integration goals.
In addition, the REA signed a $700,000 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Commission to electrify healthcare centers and 15 public universities across the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Niger, and Nasarawa states. This initiative has already begun yielding tangible results, with active projects rolling out across institutions like the Federal University of Technology, Akure (FUTA).
The Rural Electrification Agency’s mini-grid solutions have evolved beyond basic social welfare into a primary driver of industrialization and economic formalization. By taking electricity to the last mile, the REA is activating trapped economic potential in regions that the traditional grid could not reach.
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Eid-el-Kabir: Let’s Peace, Unity And Selflessness Be Our Watchword, Olowu Urges Muslim Ummah, Nigerians
Olowu of Kuta, HRM Oba Dr Hammed Makama Oyelude, CON, Tegbosun iii, has urged muslim Ummah and Nigerians to let peace , unity and selflessness be their watchword as the world observe the Eid-el-Kabir
The reverred monarch in his sallah message said Eid-el-Kabir remains a highly spiritual occasion that calls for dedication, commitment, and selflessness.
According to him, ” this is the time to reflect on the going on around us and preach messages of hope and unity devoid of any provocation.”
Oba Makama urged Nigerians to live together peacefully, irrespective of religious, political, and tribal affliation.
While calling on politicians to exercise restraint and refrain from any rhetoric that may inflame passion as we approach 2027 general elections, Oba Makama said what should be uppermost in the mind of every patriotic Nigerian is “Country first.”
The monarch, while wishing every Nigerian a peaceful celebration, maintained that people should be vigilant and not be overwhelmed by the insecurity, adding that armed forces and other para military forces are working round the clock to ensure hitch free celebration.
” The price wise men pay for eternal liberty is to be vigilant. I urged everyone to be moderate in celebration and reach out to the less privileged, widows and orphans “as our brothers and sisters keeppers,” Olowu added.
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